Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.930315 1.048409 1.177315 1.328724 1.502014 1.694527 1.925108
2025-01-12 0.742558 0.899679 1.085444 1.322331 1.617877 1.976384 2.447135
2025-01-19 0.618611 0.783899 0.989297 1.265191 1.628954 2.096135 2.747929
2025-01-26 0.558945 0.735757 0.964994 1.286991 1.732410 2.333846 3.219343
2025-02-02 0.514578 0.699850 0.949007 1.312859 1.837812 2.578759 3.723421
2025-02-09 0.473914 0.663277 0.926264 1.323784 1.919279 2.793997 4.205684
2025-02-16 0.438419 0.629592 0.902909 1.329170 1.990018 2.997010 4.689408
2025-02-23 0.413280 0.607963 0.893984 1.353438 2.089376 3.250867 5.280779
2025-03-02 0.377060 0.566278 0.850871 1.319885 2.092798 3.350765 5.626521
2025-03-09 0.359093 0.550713 0.845865 1.345155 2.192305 3.615577 6.284429
2025-03-16 0.334483 0.522551 0.818409 1.330661 2.222772 3.765000 6.752403
2025-03-23 0.317929 0.505842 0.807689 1.342525 2.298542 3.999305 7.403725
2025-03-30 0.296261 0.479568 0.779892 1.323848 2.320667 4.143517 7.909940
2025-04-06 0.278137 0.457894 0.758162 1.313915 2.357739 4.319531 8.503803
2025-04-13 0.254003 0.424163 0.713099 1.257799 2.302581 4.312788 8.719295
2025-04-20 0.244655 0.415314 0.710629 1.279342 2.397163 4.607704 9.611828
2025-04-27 0.236657 0.408193 0.710545 1.305061 2.501984 4.933900 10.617986
2025-05-04 0.227097 0.397544 0.703165 1.315910 2.577609 5.207367 11.542985
2025-05-11 0.217510 0.386148 0.693498 1.321261 2.642084 5.463567 12.463682
2025-05-18 0.211042 0.380070 0.693300 1.345369 2.748145 5.821795 13.684021
2025-05-25 0.197936 0.360605 0.666128 1.312038 2.726877 5.891924 14.193460
2025-06-01 0.192677 0.355802 0.667056 1.337141 2.836604 6.274573 15.565850
2025-06-08 0.183296 0.342389 0.650048 1.322742 2.855821 6.446096 16.403352